| It
used to be easy to tell what a company
was worth. In an industrial economy based
on such tangible assets as factories and
inventories, a company's value was a reflection
of future cash flows that could be generated
over the lifetime of those assets.
So-called intangible
assets such as brand imago, intellectual
capital, corporate culture and patents,
etc. - were important, but lacking the
substance necessary to build them objectively
into the valuation scale. Tangible assets
can produce cash flows can be valued with
reasonably well, since these assets have
a known historic price and can be traded
on the open market.
Intangible assets,
however are today as much a part of a
company's market value than tangibles
do. Particularly when we consider the
phenomenal high market capitalisation
of new economy.
Tangible assets amount
to just a fraction of the value of the
S&P 500 companies. Less than 25% of their
market capitalisation is backed by cash
flows to be derived over the next 5 years.
More than 75% of their value must be derived
from future cash flows, even they cannot
specify business plans or goals or even
future budgets plans.
Value of a company
has shifted from past performance to future
performance. Companies have shift their
focus from being exclusively concerned
with their past financial performance
to the value of future options. This requires
a creation of intangible assets and growing
them.
The right mix of tangibles
and intangibles, current and future performance
varies from industry to industry and from
company to company. The faster the rate
of change in the industry, the greater
the focus on future options must be. The
capital markets, through investors, value
companies based on expected future cash
flow, and for many companies the best
indicators for these are intangible assets.
The value of intangibles
will continue to grow and the cap between
market values and traditional measurements
of earnings will continue to widen. The
pace of change continues, forcing a shortening
of planning horizons. Cash flows and excellent
financial performance do not necessary
translate into higher stock prices.
In this volatile market
environment, a company's growth options
have become the most important indicator
for value. Substantial premiums have been
placed on companies that have the flexibility,
management and employee talent, and innovation
to create these options. Lower interest
technology-driven productivity gains rates,
and a more dynamic risk capital market
have driven some of the increases in market
value. Earnings still matter and expectations
must be realised, but actions and decisions
matter even more.
Good understanding
how the markets view value means everything.
Understand the markets' expectations appropriately
and deliver results accordingly. This
virtual circle of managing future expectations
creates powerful financial brands, that
attracts talents, capital and alliance
partners.
To build a wealthy
company, management must understand how
to approach valuation and management.The
value can be further increased by achieving
efficiencies. Also the less certain the
future, the larger the upside potential
becomes. Too much of cost savings and
efficiency reduce flexibility and innovation,
they can even destroy value of a company.
Being a wealthy
company in the future, means managing
the balance between the need to maximise
the value of current business, and the
value of future growth options. |